Bidding process in online auctions and winning strategy:rate equation approach

Online auctions have expanded rapidly over the last decade and have become a fascinating new type of business or commercial transaction in this digital era. Here we introduce a master equation for the bidding process that takes place in online auctions. We find that the number of distinct bidders who bid $k$ times, called the $k$-frequent bidder, up to the $t$-th bidding progresses as $n_k(t)\sim tk^{-2.4}$. The successfully transmitted bidding rate by the $k$-frequent bidder is obtained as $q_k(t) \sim k^{-1.4}$, independent of $t$ for large $t$. This theoretical prediction is in agreement with empirical data. These results imply that bidding at the last moment is a rational and effective strategy to win in an eBay auction.Comment: 4 pages, 6 figure

Determination of plastic properties of metals by instrumented indentation using a stochastic optimization algorithm

A novel optimization approach, capable of extracting the mechanical properties of an elasto-plastic material from indentation data, is proposed. Theoretical verification is performed on two simulated configurations. The first is based on the analysis of the load-displacement data and the topography of the residual imprint of a single conical indenter. The second is based on the load-displacement data obtained from two conical indenters with different semi-angles. In both cases, a semi-analytical approach [e.g., Dao et al., Acta Mater. 49, 3899 (2001) and Bucaille et al., Acta Mater. 51, 1663 (2003)] is used to estimate Young's modulus, yield stress, and strain hardening coefficient from the load-displacement data. An inverse finite element model, based on a commercial solver and a newly developed optimization algorithm based on a robust stochastic methodology, uses these approximate values as starting values to identify parameters with high accuracy. Both configurations use multiple data sets to extract the elastic-plastic material properties; this allows the mechanical properties of materials to be determined in a robust wa

The effect of cyclic-loading generated intergranular strains on the creep deformation of a polycrystalline material

Intergranular strains are generated due to the incompatible deformations at grain length-scales during plastic loading in a polycrystalline material. Estimating the effects of intergranular strains on the creep life of the material is of interest for accurate life prediction of high-temperature structural systems. In this study, the effect of the cyclic loading generated intergranular strains on the creep deformation behaviour of Type 316H austenitic stainless steel was studied using in-situ neutron diffraction. The load-controlled creep dwells introduced at various positions during tension-compression cyclic loading with different intergranular strain state but under the same applied stress showed markedly different behaviours. It is inferred that the intergranular strains are a significant contributor to the observed differences in creep deformation behaviour. Comparing the evolution of intergranular strains in various grain families during plastic and creep deformation, it was found that the grain families which deformed relatively more or less during plastic deformation behaved similarly during creep deformation. The present work shows that intergranular strains, which contribute to accelerating/decelerating creep deformation rates, need to be accounted for in current creep life assessment procedures, to obtain a more realistic creep deformation prediction under cyclic loading conditions

Origin of the Bauschinger effect in a polycrystalline material

There is a long and lively debate in the literature about the origin of the Bauschinger effect in polycrystalline materials, the most widely accepted explanation being the easier movement of dislocations during reverse loading causing the reduction of the yield stress. Other explanations include incompatible deformation at the grain scale and change of dislocation cell structures during forward and reverse loading, but recent publications show these phenomenological explanations of the Bauschinger effect are not holistic. In the experimental work presented here, we have investigated the role of micro residual lattice strain on the origin of the Bauschinger effect in type 316H austenitic stainless steel using in-situ neutron diffraction. Standard cylindrical specimens were tension-compression load cycled at room temperature with the loading interrupted at incrementally larger compressive and tensile strains followed by reloading to the tensile loop peak strain. Mirror symmetric compression-tension cyclic tests were also performed with tensile and compressive load interruptions followed by compressive reloading to the compressive loop peak strain. A strong correlation is demonstrated between the evolution of residual lattice strain in the grain families and the change in magnitude in macroscopic yield stress, peak stress and the shape of the yielding part of the stress-strain curve for both the cyclic tension yield and compression yield tests. This implies that the residual lattice strain generated by grain scale elastic and plastic deformation anisotropy is the primary source of the Bauschinger kinematic hardening effect observed in type 316H austenitic stainless steel

Learning Stochastic Tree Edit Distance

pages 42-53International audienceTrees provide a suited structural representation to deal with complex tasks such as web information extraction, RNA secondary structure prediction, or conversion of tree structured documents. In this context, many applications require the calculation of similarities between tree pairs. The most studied distance is likely the tree edit distance for which improvements in terms of complexity have been achieved during the last decade. However, this classic edit distance usually uses a priori fixed edit costs which are often difficult to tune, that leaves little room for tackling complex problems. In this paper, we focus on the learning of a stochastic tree edit distance. We use an adaptation of the expectation-maximization algorithm for learning the primitive edit costs. We carried out several series of experiments that confirm the interest to learn a tree edit distance rather than a priori imposing edit costs

Investigating Self-Directed Learning Dimensions: Adapting the Bouchard Framework

Self-Directed Learning (SDL) is gaining interest, as online learning is increasingly learner-centered. FutureLearn courses provide an array of online interactions and content deliveries, which have allowed the authors to investigate a diversity of SDL elements. This preliminary research examines the SDL taking place in three FutureLearn courses, and categorises those learner actions into meaningful elements and dimensions for the learners. The SDL framework by Bouchard [1] is used to interpret the self-reported findings coming from active learners. The research uses a grounded theory approach to look for learner experiences related to four dimensions (algorithmic, conative, semiotic, and economic) of the Bouchard [1] framework, and to discover new dimensions. Various research instruments are used: online surveys, learning logs, and one-on-one interviews, all collected pre-, during, or post-course. The initial adaptation of Bouchard’s framework offers insights into SDL, its meaning, and value as perceived by the learners

The Northwest Tropical Atlantic Station (NTAS) : NTAS-4 mooring turnaround cruise report

The Northwest Tropical Atlantic Station (NTAS) was established to address the need for accurate air-sea flux estimates and upper ocean measurements in a region with strong sea surface temperature anomalies and the likelihood of significant local air–sea interaction on interannual to decadal timescales. The approach is to maintain a surface mooring outfitted for meteorological and oceanographic measurements at a site near 15°N, 51°W by successive mooring turnarounds. These observations will be used to investigate air–sea interaction processes related to climate variability. Deployment of the first (NTAS-1), second (NTAS-2) and third (NTAS-3) moorings were documented in previous reports (Plueddemann et al., 2001; 2002; 2003). This report documents recovery of the NTAS-3 mooring and deployment of the NTAS-4 mooring at the same site. Both moorings used 3-meter discus buoys as the surface element. These buoys were outfitted with two Air–Sea Interaction Meteorology (ASIMET) systems. Each system measures, records, and transmits via Argos satellite the surface meteorological variables necessary to compute air–sea fluxes of heat, moisture and momentum. The upper 150 m of the mooring line were outfitted with oceanographic sensors for the measurement of temperature and velocity. The mooring turnaround was done on the NOAA ship Ronald H. Brown, Cruise RB-04-01, by the Upper Ocean Processes Group of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. The cruise took place between 12 and 25 February 2004. The NTAS-3 buoy was found adrift and recovered on 19 February at 14°53.7’N, 51°22.8’W. Deployment of the NTAS-4 mooring was on 21 February at approximately 14°44.4’N, 50°56.0’W in 5038 m of water. A 30-hour intercomparison period followed, after which dragging operations to recover the lower portion of the NTAS-3 mooring commenced. This report describes these operations, as well as other work done on the cruise and some of the pre-cruise buoy preparations.Funding was provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration under Grant No. NA17RJ1223 and the Cooperative Institute for Climate and Ocean Research (CICOR)

Wall-crossing, open BPS counting and matrix models

We consider wall-crossing phenomena associated to the counting of D2-branes attached to D4-branes wrapping lagrangian cycles in Calabi-Yau manifolds, both from M-theory and matrix model perspective. Firstly, from M-theory viewpoint, we review that open BPS generating functions in various chambers are given by a restriction of the modulus square of the open topological string partition functions. Secondly, we show that these BPS generating functions can be identified with integrands of matrix models, which naturally arise in the free fermion formulation of corresponding crystal models. A parameter specifying a choice of an open BPS chamber has a natural, geometric interpretation in the crystal model. These results extend previously known relations between open topological string amplitudes and matrix models to include chamber dependence.Comment: 25 pages, 8 figures, published versio

Neutral B-meson mixing from three-flavor lattice QCD: Determination of the SU(3)-breaking ratio \xi

We study SU(3)-breaking effects in the neutral B_d-\bar B_d and B_s-\bar B_s systems with unquenched N_f=2+1 lattice QCD. We calculate the relevant matrix elements on the MILC collaboration's gauge configurations with asqtad-improved staggered sea quarks. For the valence light-quarks (u, d, and s) we use the asqtad action, while for b quarks we use the Fermilab action. We obtain \xi=f_{B_s}\sqrt{B_{B_s}}/f_{B_d}\sqrt{B_{B_d}}=1.268+-0.063. We also present results for the ratio of bag parameters B_{B_s}/B_{B_d} and the ratio of CKM matrix elements |V_{td}|/|V_{ts}|. Although we focus on the calculation of \xi, the strategy and techniques described here will be employed in future extended studies of the B mixing parameters \Delta M_{d,s} and \Delta\Gamma_{d,s} in the Standard Model and beyond.Comment: 36 pages, 7 figure